The heat and the Celtics played 4 times in the regular season, with 2 to 2 levels. Among them, the two battles with relatively neat personnel became 1 to 1 level. When one game hit Canada, the Celtics won 7 points in a match. The two teams hit the G7 last year, and finally they missed one goal. Compared with last year, the Green Army added Brogden, the Heat added loafers, and lorry’s physical condition was much better than last year, but they lost Tucker, and Croal and Audi were still injured, croal may return, but it is certainly not too early, and the status is a question mark.
Generally speaking, in terms of configuration, the Green Army has been upgraded, and the heat is at most flat, and the paper strength is undoubtedly the Green Army’s dominant. However, it seems that the realization of paper strength by the Green Army this year is not as good as last year. It is not a new thing to tear up with the next team, but the heat of black eight shows amazing discipline and toughness of attack and defense. On the actual level, the two teams may not have much difference.
However, compared with the Green Army, the level of heat is still more difficult to locate:
Against the Bucks, the Heat team hit 45% in three points;
Against the Knicks, the Heat team hit 30.6 percent in three points.
In the two consecutive rounds of series, the three-point star gap was nearly 15 percent age points. Is this the two teams at all?
Letters saw the following words left tears:
Deng Luo, who scored 14 three points with a hit rate of 73.7 percent against the Bucks, and 12 out of 42 points against the Knicks, with a hit rate of 28.6 percent;
Loafers, who had a headache against the Bucks, hit 24.1% against 7 of the 29th Knicks;
Against the Bucks, dry pull is in, the main attack hit the flying Vincent, against the Knicks 41 in 11, hit 26.8%.
So……
The feeling of the HEAT round returned to the state of collective instability in the regular season, and the three-point shooting rate of the whole team did not exceed 35% in one match. It is hard for you to say that the failure of the heat to score three points is the contribution of Knicks defense. Although the Bucks made a lot of defensive mistakes, the Knicks defense three points were also roughly along with each other. This point was mentioned many times in the series replaying articles-it was really not difficult for the heat to create a good three-point opportunity. However, Knicks have always had a life. One of their characteristics over the past few years is that the three-point opponent who leaks with skill cannot be invested with skill, and the stag does have the passive constitution of “automatic BUFF hot shooting feeling.
It’s hard for you to explain metaphysics clearly. You can only accept this fact:
The heat is going to use their huge difference between the upper and lower limits to engage in people’s mentality.
Heat attack, green army defense this end, what is the final result, I can only say to fate. The logic is as follows:
Green Army’s paint area defense is very tough, with few single defense weaknesses and stable defense basic disk;
However, the stag also has the above characteristics. Jimmy still dried through the stag paint area and became a toy for a while. Against the powerful Knicks with the same protective basket, Jimmy’s performance declined a bit. Besides the impact of ankle injuries, the feeling of jumping against the sky was difficult to maintain-then, please guess that when he played against the Green Army, which round is the status closer? God knows;
The Green Army’s defense is not a piece of iron, and the center potty chair is bound to be weak in the limit of blocking, dismantling and holding the ball;
The choice of hot fire attack is extremely reasonable, and they will definitely seize the opportunity of the green army to guard potty chair, and respond with three points of blocking, opening, no cover and three points of hand-handed — then, please guess which round is closer to the three points of the HEAT round? Who knows.
The Heat has the wisdom of developing resources and choosing, and catches some opportunities from the gap of the Green Army’s defense line. However, it is difficult to determine the success rate of their final grasp of these opportunities. According to the big sample performance of the heat for the whole year, and referring to the precedent of the continuous downturn of last year’s playoff shooters, you can trust Butler, but it is not optimistic that a large number of failed shows and the old men can be stable.
Green Army attack and Heat defense will be easier to predict.
The Heat lost Tucker and Audi, and owed some resources. Butler can only choose one of the two flowers, and the other will basically be handed over to Martin. The connection section may use Smith, or let lorry and Vincent take over forcibly and cooperate with the joint defense to defend the Green Army. Since the Heat center is Adebayor, the Green Army will not have a good effect in removing the No. 5 block. As the core of a double-front team building, the Green Army has three multi-attack teams that can play with the defenders. It is undoubtedly a better choice to catch the weakness of the Heat single defense. The main ones to be caught are these:
The two weakest single defense points: Deng Luo of the bench, which may return to Croal in the later stage of the series;
Large dislocation point: loafers.
Relatively have some resistance single point: Strous. When Deng Luo, Croal and loafers were not present, he could only look for him.
It can be seen that the single anti-fire weakness is not weak, because the weakest single anti-fire point Croal is not necessarily when to fight, Deng Luo has less time. Their two back court Vincent and Lowry are resistant single defense points, and Strous is not the level of being slaughtered. In addition, the heat has strong team defensive discipline, and the Green Army will not play well even if they catch the advantage match.
It can be predicted that the final result at this end is to hand over a report card that is generally acceptable on both sides:
The Green Army made aggression against the position by virtue of advantages, and punished the multi-point defense of the heat with fixed points and three points;
The Heat made a lot of mistakes in the Green Army, trying not to make it easy for the Green Army. Finally, the average efficiency between the normal attack level of the Green Army and the normal defense level of the heat is maintained.
This is the general direction.
So, what are the key game points in this round of series?
The easiest thing to think of is the use of loafers and Lowe.
Loafers changed the season fortune of the heat and was the key X factor of their black eight. Although he didn’t feel well in the series against the Knicks, he still contributed some value as a big opponent and an excellent rebounder. But against Celtics, the first problem he has to face is-who will he defend against?
We assume that the Celtics starting line-up is more commonly used, white, smart, Jay, Tatum, Horford, these five groups, then loafers can only be used to defend Horford at the beginning, he couldn’t keep up with the other four points. Compared with the past, Horford’s participation in tactics is indeed much lower, but if it is loafers to defend against him, the value of his cover, it will still be bigger than the Milo who didn’t handle the ball and didn’t have the threat of external disassembly in the last round. If loafers matches Horford, Adebayor can be used as a strong counterpoint to prevent double flower exploration, but to achieve this effect, it is not necessary to use loafers pairs of Horford, Martin can also try, horford’s threat of punching plate and shape rolling is far inferior to the previous two rounds of DALO and Miro.
What was marzula thinking when Sibo was worried about loafers counterpositions and whether to start?
Who is the PJ Tucker of the heat.
The Green Army passed 76 people, and one of the key changes was Lowe’s defense against Tucker. It seems that the player closest to the role of heat is Martin.
It is very likely that when SPO was thinking about whether to start Martin or not, to avoid loafers counterposition difficulties, and to avoid being found, marzula thought that if you go to Martin, then I will copy the G6G7 against 76 people and use Lowell to block the paint area against Martin to give the Rebus strength.
Animal checker is about to open the second set.
The heat is a team whose defensive ability is far better than that of 76 people and Eagles. It is associated with last year’s East decision and Horford’s gradually unstable shooting feel, it is not easy for the Green Army to win the heat by fighting the attack. The re-picking of the value of the last round of Lowe’s cooperative defense may have a significant impact on this round. Lowe may be the key to the victory of the Green Army.
The heat has to respond to the Green Army. They have a smarter choice than 76 people. Once they find the green army’s attempt, they will try to find more ways to break the game, such as hand in hand three points, smarter for the weak side. Martin delivered a good three-point response in the playoffs this year, which may be more dangerous than the current version of Tucker.
But more ideally, the Heat has a form that loafers can hold on the field defense and simultaneous action make the Green Army uncomfortable-the Green Army goes to Lowe, and loafers on the heat can be directly against Lowe, this is the same as Milo. If the feel of loafers is online, Lowe is not easy to make a choice on the other end. At this time, loafers and Horford, their three-point response performance will largely determine the result of the match.
No matter which side wins, the heat and the Green Army will continue to prove how important the big front game that can shoot is in the playoffs.
Yes……
Forward-looking expectations: the strength of the Green Army is small, and the heat miracle is available.