(The original text was published on May 13. The author is ESPN writer Bobby Marks. The content of the article does not represent the translator’s point of view.)
The defending champion Golden State Warriors failed to win the championship as last year, but lost to James and the Los Angeles Lakers in the Western semi-final.
After entering the Curry era, the Warriors have won four championship rings. However, with the aging of the core lineup and the soaring wage expenditure, they may usher in the beginning of a new era this season. Some players loved by Warriors fans over the years, such as Green and Thompson, have entered the end of their current contract; And Warriors will also make it difficult to determine how long the current core lineup will last.
1. Current situation of the lineup
Warriors have been in such a situation before. After losing the Toronto Raptors in the 2019 finals, they lost Durant, who tested the free market, and were unable to send Thompson, who had torn the left knee cross ligament, in the following season. Two years later, they lost two games in the play-off, triggering a discussion on whether the Warriors dynasty had ended. Later, they rebounded strongly and won the fourth championship in the curry ERA last season. But in this off-season, the situation is different again.
Green has a player option of 27.6 million dollars and may become a free player. Thompson is coming to the last year of his contract and is eligible for a multi-year renewal contract. The contract of warrior lineup designer-general manager Bob Myers-is about to expire.
The new labor agreement, which will take effect on July 1, will also impose great restrictions on the upgrade of the warrior’s lineup. If both Green and Thompson get the renewal, the Warriors will have to continue to pay huge taxes and face greater challenges in the formation of the lineup (no middle-class special contract, more difficult to make transactions, etc.). In addition, how much trust the coaching staff has in Poole is also a question. After signing a four-year 0.123 billion renewal contract in last October, Poole was quite unstable in the regular season and struggled in the playoffs.
2. Off-season financial situation
If the lineup remains unchanged (which includes Green executing his player options), Warriors are expected to pay a total of 0.457 billion salaries and taxes. When they signed the players in the free market, the number rose to 0.5 billion dollars. Even if Green and divenzenzzo both leave, the salary of the Warriors will still exceed the second tax line of 0.1795 billion, so they have no right to provide other players with a special mini middle class contract of 5 million dollars.
Therefore, the annual salary of the contract offered by Golden State Warriors to jiemai Kerr Green cannot exceed 3.4 million dollars, and the veteran basic salary contract can only be used to sign free players. At the same time, in any transaction, the salary offered by Warriors to new players cannot exceed 110% of the salary of the players sent out. For example, if Warriors send Poole away, they can only offer an annual salary of 30.2 million dollars to the exchanged players at most (in the original labor agreement, it can reach 34.3 million dollars). Green and divenzenzzo can perform player options before June 29.
3. Top priority of management
If we think Green’s days in Warriors are over, then we are too naive. Yes, Green can refuse to execute his player options and enter the free market, but are there any other teams willing to offer him long-term big contracts? In the league, the teams whose total salary has not exceeded the salary cap include Detroit Piston, Indiana Pacers, Houston Rockets, Oklahoma Thunder, Orlando Magic and St. Anthony Homa Thorn.
If you can’t find a reliable next home from the above teams, then it is wise for Green to execute the player options for next season first. In this case, will green sign a renewal contract in favor of the team for the third time in a row? Will Warriors really send him a long-term contract? In terms of the number of minutes (including the playoffs) in the 2014-15 season, the 33-year-old Green can be ranked in the top ten in the league.
This season, when Green was present, the warrior’s defensive efficiency was 109.6; While when he was not present, the warrior’s defensive efficiency became a worse 115.3. As the defender closest to the player, he can limit the hit rate of the opponent to 39 percent. Second Spectrum data tracking shows that among players who have blocked at least 500 shots, Green’s data can rank Second, Second only to Durant. Of course, Green can also apply for a deal after performing player options, just as Owen did last season in basketable nets.
Dicvincenzo has a player option of $4.7 million. Yogueta refused to execute, and warrior could offer him a new contract with a starting salary of 5.4 million dollars at most. This seems unlikely to be accepted unless DiVincenzo wants to ensure his early Bird rights in 2024 with a contract lower than the market price. In that case, he can sign a four-year contract with a starting salary of 12 million dollars next summer.
4. Renewal of contracts that still need to wait and see
Is there any compromise plan for Thompson’s renewal? After missing about two and a half seasons, Thompson played 69 games this year and scored the third highest in his career. Although his three-point shooting rate exceeded 40% for the ninth time in the last ten seasons, his layup and dunk shooting rate fell below 60% for the first time after the 2014-15 season. His 47% two-point hit rate is also the worst season since Cole coached.
Thompson is qualified to sign a four-year renewal contract of 0.22 billion dollars, but it will be a reckless choice for the team. Because by the 2020-28 season, Thompson’s annual salary will rise to 61 million dollars, and he was 37 years old at that time. Moreover, no warrior player (including Curry) has a contract term beyond the 2026-27 season. Curry’s contract is only three years left.
Team demand: Even as a team with the second third hit rate in the league, Warriors still need forecourt player of space. Green’s three-point hit rate was 30.5 percent, while Looney did not shoot tossing at all. The replacements lamb has a three-point shooting rate of 36.7%, but he will become a free agent.
Selection rights in June: 19 in sequence
Future Talent show assets: Warriors owe grizzly bear a first round signing in 2024 protected by the first four ranks. This first round of signing was first protected in 2025 and unprotected in 2026. After meeting the conditions of Memphis, Warriors had to wait another two years for the first round of signing. Warriors have four future rounds of signing that can be used for trading. If Warriors exceed the second tax line in the 2024-25 season, their first round of signing in 2032 will be frozen and cannot be used for trading. In addition, if Warriors exceed the second tax line in three of the five years starting from the 2024-25 season, their first round of signing in 2032 will only fall into the second half.
Original: Bobby Marks
Compilation: asteroid falling
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